01 October 2008 - 21H14
- economy - financial crisis - Wall Street

How to spend $700 billion
The proposed US bailout could buy 2,000 apple pies for every American. FRANCE 24 asked two economists how they would spend the money. (Photo courtesy of McDonald's).
By Euny HONG (text)
If someone gave you $700 billion to rescue the US economy, how would you spend it? Read what two economists say, then give us your ideas by clicking 'React'.

 

"The bill is a dog's breakfast," says British economist Eamonn Butler of the proposed $700 billion US bailout package. "It's just a bunch of unrelated things cobbled together," adds the director of the Adam Smith Institute, a London-based free market think tank, "from saying that banker bonuses should be smaller, to talking about auto workers in Detroit".

 

Butler's colleague on the other side of the Atlantic, Oliver Hart at Harvard University (also a Brit), is not happy with the bill either: he signed a joint letter to Congress protesting the measure. Among his objections: What's the rush?

 

"They're trying to push it through fast, saying if we don't act quickly, the world is going to end," he told FRANCE 24. "Democracy is not meant to work that way." Hart does not feel that time-sensitivity should have been such a chief factor. "There's not much evidence of a market crash. If someone has to wait two weeks instead of one to borrow, it's not the end of the world."

 

The apple pie index 

 

The proposed bailout plan would allow the Treasury to buy bad mortgage-related assets from banks, thereby freeing up money for the banks to lend to businesses and keep the economy going.  The US Senate approved an amended version of the draft Wednesday night, a few days after the House of Representatives first rejected it.

 

The version adopted by the Senate adds up to 100 billion dollars in tax break extensions for middle class families and businesses, elements designed to entice reluctant Republicans in the House of Representatives to support the measure.

 

An often-expressed fear is that in the absence of such a bill, the United States - and the world - could see the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression of the 1930s. But many lawmakers, both Democrats and Republicans, are asking why the ordinary Americans they represent should have to foot the bill for the Wall Street banks - whose risky deals created the crisis in the first place.

 

The common perception of the bill is exemplified by a joke made on the comedy programme The Daily Show: that $700 billion is enough to buy 2,000 McDonald's apple pies for every US citizen. This joke goes to the heart of the matter, that many Americans feel the bailout has no clear benefit for the average person.

 

A scalpel, not an axe

 

Asked what he would do if he were given $700 billion to save the US economy, Hart joked: "I wouldn't spend it on apple pies; there's enough obesity in this country." But, he went on, he wouldn't spend it on an industry-wide bailout either - and not with that price tag. "I don't know what Bernanke knows," he said, referring to Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. "You can't say he's not a good economist. But buying up distressed assets is… not the best way."

 

The problem with the current plan, says Hart, is that the government has no accurate way of knowing the value of the assets it is trying to buy from the banks. "What is the value of these subprime packages? Nobody knows."

 

Furthermore, pricing the purchase is a double bind. "If the government pays less (for the assets), they're not helping the banks recapitalize. But if they pay high prices, the government's making a loss." And wasting some of that $700 billion.

 

Hart, left to his druthers, would "lend money to solid businesses, not a massive bailout... I would tackle the failure in the credit markets directly, using a scalpel and not an axe…. A focused intervention would encourage banks to recapitalize, perhaps by issuing equity. It wouldn't cost $700 billion."

 

Furthermore, he would spend the cash on concrete measures: building bridges and other infrastructure projects, as well as paying down the budget deficit, which would reduce the need for future taxes.

 

Free chips, free drinks at the bar

 

Butler's think tank was built on the principles of Adam Smith, the 18th century economic pioneer, and espouses a free market with minimal government intervention.

 

One might expect someone with such a pedigree to have little sympathy for a mortgage customer who gets himself into trouble by overborrowing.

 

Yet Butler takes a surprising stance. If given a $700 billion check, Butler says he would "give it to the individuals that have the loans they can't repay… It's not their fault. When institutions are forced to give loans, it's like being in a casino where the government gives free chips and the regulators are giving out free drinks at the bar."

 

While Butler, like Hart, opposes the plan for an industry-wide bailout, he believes that bailouts in specific cases are necessary. "Markets depend on confidence. Here in England we bailed out Northern Rock because people were queuing up in the streets to take out their money."

 

This might have Adam Smith rolling in his grave, but perhaps he wouldn't have understood the US plan.

 

Comments

How to use $700 billion bailout

Given my limited knowledge of detial of american economy ( except ofcourse high debt, low energy efficiency,pocket of poverty), if one is trying to maximize impact of $700 billion bailout on economy , one must remember that poorer less well off sections would have higher MPC and certain areas have underdeveloped infrastructure. so spend most of the money on poorer areas where income impact will be higher. ( if part of 700 billion could win US hosting of a future olympics- go for it- it can boost the economy wide growth rate.a part of the money must be used to encourage industry to make energy efficient investments and another part to boost renewable energy generation along lines suggested by al gore. Finally 700 biilion must not be given to banks entirely ( but in stages perhaps) because for a few years era og overlending will be replaced by underlending by FIs and hence case for public works in US

Give people a chance!

700 billion!!!! I would use this money to help people in the world. I would give them the opportunity to improve their conditions of life e

Finance Crunch.

How much did all those bonuses come to, anywhere near the trillion pounds needed?

Perhaps the government should pay back all the massive taxes they took from banks and pensions?

~Better still, stop subsidising mortgages offsetting interest payments against taxes, let alone favouring debt over equity in tax treatment.

~What about suing Alan Greenspan and the Asian economies for incompetence?

How to spend $700b

Surely they have already spent it and that is why we are in such a mess!

Dieu est la !!!!

Nous savons que l 'homme propose Dieu dispose !! Avec dieu tout est possible ,je ne vois pas notre economie tout le monde disait se fini!!! No pour moi ca va change bientot ! Je confiance a notre president .Merci.

ca va venir .

onpeux dire que dans quelque jours
tout passera bien . On confiance de notre president
merci je connais bien que Dieu est pour nous et tous.

financial crisis

greed is a gripping thing, and all banks are greedy, so to the people who work the stock exchange, yet, it is the tax payer who picks up the bill, once again. I say, all these bonuses that have been handed out, should be re-called, and put back into the system. And any investors in the future should have to deal in periods, so that these fast profits would be in the system for longer, with the risk higher. banks should 100% guarantee that people's savings are save.

Stupid Big Business Bailout

I agree with the plan for the government to give each adult US citizen (over 18yrs) $400,000, taxing every one of those persons 30%, and letting us decide how we want to spend our money.

$700 billion to rescue the US economy

given that amount of money the best thing is to give it to Obama campaign so that he wins the US elections and solve this tragic which has been caused by the us republicans . The problem caused by someone who spends his entire life at War and now want to try and solve the problem that he himself and his party have created .

Bailout

I wouldn't have voted for the bailout. Politicians should have passed a cleaner bill. Instead they couldn't resist "porking" up the bill. I certainly wouldn't bail out those who took out a mortgage that they clearly knew or should have known they couldn't afford. Stupidity shouldn't be rewarded. Too many people have forgotten how to take personal responsibility.

$700 billion US bailout package

Thay made there nest
But why with my money

$700,000,000.00

Rather than give the money to the people who have created the crisis, forcibly buy the mortgages at a discount.
This should mean that the companies stay viable, without rewarding them for their incompetence. The homes could be rented to their occupants at a price that they can manage, over the term of their lives.
At the end of the day, the purpose of Government is to protect their citizens from the depredations of domestic and foreign powers. If the Government feels ideologically unhappy about being accountable for the direct control of organisations (e.g. they are rampant capitalists), then they can create a quango to adminster the scheme, until they can find a private company which has some integrity.

Hang Them All

I think the government should follow China's example and execute a few of these fat cats! That should make the rest think twice and be content with 2 million instead of 350 million! There are no real penalties for their reckless greed....instead there are blank checks. No surprise there as the politicos are in bed with all these bastards anyway!! REVOLUTION anyone?

What should be done with the $700 billion

Since a majority of the bad loans involved fraud, I think they should pay off the loans and give the people the Deed to their house back. NONE of the money should be given to the banks or their CEOs.

u.s. banking criisis

why should the banks be bailed out, stop the fat cats getting fatter, give the help to the ordinary american who may lose their home..by the way, i'm english.in a council property. which is falling apart at the seams, but i still say help the people with their morgages until they can catch up with their payments. i also think it is ludicrous that people would lose their homes and end up possibly claiming from the state, from benefits to housing,adding to the state of homelessness, instead of keeping people in their homes, maybe getting a lower payment for their mortgate is better than nothing at all. by the way why do the fat cats get the pay they do,their obviously not doing their job properly if at all. i feel that if they end up in a mess, they should bail out the banks personally, out of their fat cat wages, not the on the street american, who is just trying to live from day to day.

Who to save with 700 billion

I would save the homeowners that loss their houses and let them pay back the government as the mortgage holders

Bank Bailout

An improvement in France24's usual inadeqaute assessment of the financial crisis - more expert opinion please!
But why is nobody talking about the decision to expand the US Statutary Debt Limit to $11,315,000,000,000?
Why hasnt anyone mentioned the usual pork-barrel earmarks attached to the Bill - like tax breaks for wooden arrows made for children & other nonsense? Where is all this extra money to come from? What effect will this have on the $ & interest rates? Come on France 24 get with the program!

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