Tuesday, December 02, 2008

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Focus shifts to fallout after US adopts bailout plan

Saturday 04 October 2008

Investors remain anxious following the adoption of the Paulson bailout plan by the US Senate and House of Representatives. Despite the $700 billion financial rescue package, confidence in US markets remains severely shaken.

Saturday 04 October 2008

The U.S. government enacted a landmark $700 billion bank bailout on Friday, but investors questioned whether it could contain a panic that began on Wall Street and spread to become a global financial crisis.

The U.S. House of Representatives approved the rescue plan by a vote of 263-171 on Friday. That sent the measure to President George W. Bush, who quickly signed it into law, concluding two weeks of high-stakes haggling over the plan that had roiled and captivated global markets.

Markets pivoted on passage of the U.S. bailout, as investors' attention turned to signs of a gathering recession.

Stocks, which had been higher before the vote, dropped, with the S&P 500 index closing at its lowest level in almost four years. The dollar was also in retreat.

"This probably comes a bit too late. If this had been done earlier, it probably would have had a much bigger impact in restoring confidence," said Anna Piretti, economist at BNP Paribas in New York.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, who had been the administration's chief lobbyist for the plan, said he would move quickly to buy up distressed assets from banks.

"We have shown the world that the United States of America will stabilize our financial markets and maintain a leading role in the global economy," Bush said in a short statement delivered before cameras outside the White House.

Analysts cautioned it was still unclear whether the U.S. plan would work as advertised.

"There are more questions than answers out there still," said David Kelly, chief market strategist of JPMorgan Asset Management. "Even if the banks do participate, how willing will they be to make new loans into the economy if they can get rid of the bad ones?"

The U.S. government has run up a bill of $1 trillion in recent weeks as it rushed to stabilize its banks, including the seizures of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. That cost is equal to over 7 percent of the world's largest economy.

Earlier on Friday, the hobbled financial sector was bolstered as Wells Fargo & Co stepped in to buy Wachovia Corp in a deal that would take the place of a shotgun merger with Citigroup Inc brokered by U.S. banking regulators.

But in signs of the spreading crisis, California said it was running out of money, France said the world stood on the "edge of the abyss" and European leaders divided over their response to the banking sector's difficulties.

HOUSE FALLS INTO PLACE


The House had shocked world markets on Monday by rejecting a previous draft. With elections a month away, lawmakers from both parties were wary of voter backlash in asking taxpayers to pay for Wall Street's mistakes.

Earlier on Friday, the United States reported its biggest monthly job loss in 5-1/2 years, more evidence of an approaching recession. Data showed the U.S. services sector holding up.

Speaker after speaker from both parties on the House floor said rejecting the bailout a second time could have devastating consequences for an already slowing U.S. economy.

"While the focus has been on the Dow Jones and Wall Street, we are addressing the real pain felt by Mr. and Mrs. Jones on Main Street," said House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, a California Democrat.

 The credit crisis and its threat to the economy have dominated the U.S. presidential election. Both Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama supported the bailout and welcomed its passage.

"I'm glad to see we've finally got this thing dealt with," Obama said while campaigning in Pennsylvania. "The No. 1 thing is that the administration uses this authority wisely."

McCain said it was "an outrage" that the crisis had reached the point of demanding an emergency response from lawmakers.

"Our economy is still hurting, hurting badly," he said in Arizona. "Further action is needed and it shouldn't take a crisis to get this country to act."

Meanwhile, the nation's most populous state warned it could need to fall back federal loans because it has been shut out of credit markets. California, with an economy on par with Spain's, cautioned it could run out of cash by the end of the month, bringing services to a grinding halt.

 A collapse in the U.S. housing market and resulting bad mortgages have shattered confidence in the financial sector, with banks across the United States and Europe needing support from governments or outside investors this week.

Interbank lending and credit to businesses and private individuals has all but seized up. Central banks have injected billions of dollars to maintain some flow of funds.

'ON THE EDGE OF THE ABYSS'

French Prime Minister Francois Fillon, whose country is hosting an emergency summit with Italian, British and German leaders on Saturday, said only collective action could solve the financial crisis. He said he would not rule out any solution to stop any bank failing.

"The world is on the edge of the abyss because of an irresponsible system," Fillon said, alluding to widespread anger over past lax regulation and excessive lending.

Fillon said President Nicolas Sarkozy would propose at the emergency meeting measures to unfreeze credit and coordinate economic and monetary strategies.

In Britain, Prime Minister Gordon Brown shook up his cabinet and authorities took three separate steps to try to shore up the financial system.

Bad news mounted in the European financial sector.

Dutch-Belgian banking and insurance giant Fortis was broken up on national lines, with the Dutch government taking over its operations in the Netherlands, after an earlier rescue effort and asset sale failed.

In Switzerland, UBS AG, hardest hit among European banks by its exposure to subprime holdings, said it would cut 2,000 investment banking jobs.

Divisions have emerged within Europe over the past week, with Ireland offering guarantees on bank deposits, prompting a flight of capital from British lenders to Irish banks.

EU partners said Ireland's move could break competition rules and threatened the unity necessary to ensure an ordered approach to turmoil ahead.


 

  • 04/10/2008 09:44:06 Alert a moderator

    Bailout myth

    The bucket of water option would be to instead of just giving the banks the money to take preferential shares & thereby at least have some control over the management & hopefully sell these shares back when the problem is fixed. By just giving money you have no control how it is spent or any likelyhood of getting your investment back. Taking a debt position just means you are in a line with thousands of others who are owed money - you have no control. Having equity shares in the firm is a much safer option. Watch what happens- On the strength of this (false) bailout the stockmarket will rise, interest rates will dip slightly, & the $ strengthen - as everyone sighs & thinks they've got away with it. But the government will have to find the money from somewhere - print it, borrow it from the Chinese, or cut services & raise taxes - probabaly all 3. Within 3 years the $ will crash, the stockmarket will be back to where it was 10 years ago, & we wont be able to keep the lights on after 9pm. it will make the 1930's look like a picnic!

  • 04/10/2008 08:28:56 Alert a moderator

    "Anonyme" on Bailout

    Excellent critique, but I'm curious to know what the"bucket of water" might be. Isn't outright ownership of an asset an equity position, even if it is money owed but unpaid? (In banking, loans are assets.) The US govt. stands to become an even larger real estate operator than it is now, even though that is not its mission.

  • 03/10/2008 16:16:43 Alert a moderator

    Bailout or suicide plan?

    19th Century British economist Arnold Toynebee concluded that 'all great nations commit suicide'. With the passing of the latest version of the Bank Bailout Bill we are witnessing the self-immolation of this once great country. Given the option of two fire-buckets to put out the conflagration in their House, Congress has rejected the one containing water for the one full of gasoline!
    Over the past two weeks the Federal Reserve has already poured over $630 billion into the short-term markets to ensure liquidity. This has failed miserably and now they are going for another $700 billion bailout! And nobody, especially the media, seems to be talking about the provision in the Bill to blow out the Statutory Limit on the Public Debt to a mind-numbing $11,315,000,000,000 !
    A smart lawyer can drive a cart & horses thru this useless document, which is toothless when it comes to any level of accountability for public funds. When taking over useless assets the Bill disingenuously equates taking a debt position with holding equity in the same troubled company. Corporate greed is supposedly tamed by the meaningless caveat 'financial institutions meet appropriate standards for executive compensation & corporate governance.'
    This Bill is supposed to prevent 'unjust enrichment' but the gutless wording actually only says it will 'prevent the sale to the treasury of troubled assets at a higher price than what the seller paid to purchase the asset'. The Banks can't loose! The taxes of our children & grand-children will be paying for this for decades. Never-mind finding money to fight foreign wars, we will be lucky to just keep the streetlights on after 9pm.
    This useless document is little more than a thinly disguised coup d'état by the financial elite to overthrow the democratic system of the United States - everyone should make a mental note who voted for it.

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