Open

Coming up

Don't miss

Replay


LATEST SHOWS

THE WORLD THIS WEEK

The World This Week - 01 August 2014 (part 2)

Read more

MEDIAWATCH

Coverage of Gaza in the Israeli media

Read more

REPORTERS

1914-1918: The Depths of Hell

Read more

THE WORLD THIS WEEK

The World This Week - 01 August 2014

Read more

THE INTERVIEW

Exclusive: Israel's US ambassador speaks to FRANCE 24

Read more

#THE 51%

World War One: The war that changed women’s lives

Read more

FRANCE IN FOCUS

Ségolène Royal goes for green

Read more

THE OBSERVERS

A look back at some of the Observers' best stories

Read more

DEBATE

Argentina Defaults: Kirchner Cries Foul Over 'Vulture Funds' (part 2)

Read more

  • Hamas denies capturing Israeli soldier as Gaza truce lies in tatters

    Read more

  • Scores killed in China factory explosion

    Read more

  • Exclusive: Israel's US ambassador speaks to FRANCE 24

    Read more

  • Police 'chokehold' caused NYC death, coroner rules

    Read more

  • French most keen to erase their online footprint, says Google

    Read more

  • Air France ground workers to strike on August 2

    Read more

  • Rogue general denies Islamist seizure of Benghazi

    Read more

  • Ugandan court strikes down anti-gay legislation

    Read more

  • 1914-1918: The Depths of Hell

    Read more

  • Regional summit to tackle deadly Ebola outbreak

    Read more

  • French hospital to open wine bar for terminally ill patients

    Read more

  • Video: Tipping is dying out in French café culture

    Read more

  • €2.5 million in cocaine ‘disappears’ from Paris police HQ

    Read more

  • Appeal court keeps French rogue trader Kerviel in jail

    Read more

  • Interactive: France’s new plan to counter jihadism in Africa

    Read more

  • Ukrainian army suffers losses in separatist attack

    Read more

Business France

After narrowly avoiding it, France enters recession

Latest update : 2009-02-09

The French Central Bank has forecast a shrinkage of 0.6 percent of the national GDP for the first quarter of 2009 - a second consecutive quarter of contraction for the economy - meaning the country is officially entering a recession period.

AFP - The French economy is set to shrink by 0.6 percent in the first quarter of this year, the Bank of France forecast on Monday, signalling a formal recession.
 

If the economy does contract as the central bank expects, after widely expected shrinkage in the fourth quarter, the economy will have shown two quarters running of negative growth which marks recession.

 

The economy contracted in the second quarter of last year but achieved growth of 0.1 percent in the third quarter, thereby narrowly averting recession.
 

But economists, including government economists, expect data for the fourth quarter to show a clear contraction.

 

The official statistics institute INSEE is to publish on Friday its first data for growth in the whole of 2008.
 

Most economists, and the government, expect that the figure for gross domestic product in the fourth quarter will be very weak, showing a contraction of about 1.0 percent.

 

Economy Minister Christine Lagarde said last week that conditions in the fourth quarter were the worst "ever seen", referring to a "collapse of industrial production, particularly in November and December."
 

Forecasts so far put growth for the whole of 2008 at 0.7-0.8 percent.

 

Lagarde said that the government was waiting for publication of these results to revise its forecasts for growth in 2009, which stand so far at 0.2-0.5 percent.

 

The minister has also acknowledged that she would be "very surprised" if the French economy grew in 2009, thereby implying that she would be surprised if it were not in recession.
 

"All of the countries in the eurozone are at about minus 2.0 (percent for forecast growth), and the European Commission gives us minus 1.8 percent, the IMF (International Monetary Fund) minus 1.9 percent, so no-one should have any illusions," she said.

 

"We have to be realistic and watch the figures."

 

The bank also published its index for business sentiment in industry which stood at 70 in January from 67 in December, showing a slight rise in activity.

Date created : 2009-02-09

COMMENT(S)