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08 April 2010 - 00H58
China leading demand in rising global copper market
AFP - World copper consumption is expected to grow 5.4 percent this year, led by China which is expected to buy nearly 40 percent of global output, industry experts told the World Copper Conference on Wednesday.
Jose Pablo Arellano, chief executive of Codelco, the Chilean state-owned firm which is the world's leading producer of copper, said the rebound this year from a deep decline in 2009 is being driven mainly by the Chinese market and other Asian economies.
"Because of the tremendous potential of the Chinese consumer, there are good prospects for future demand for copper," he told the gathering of executives and others focused on the metal.
"Chinese demand is still strong after robust growth in 2009 and in the coming years we see a significant increase in copper demand in emerging Asia."
Arellano said emerging countries in Asia "are going through a stage of development which is very intensive in the use of copper for construction, energy infrastructure development and industrial activity, and need more copper than other developed countries."
Arellano said his estimate for 2010 growth in copper was 5.4 percent. Because of rising demand, the company has announced plans to invest 15 billion dollars over the next five years to expand production in Chile, which already accounts for 33 percent of global output.
Leonardo Suarez, chief economist at the Chilean brokerage LarrainVial, noted that while demand for copper fell 29 percent in the world in 2009 due to an unprecedented economic slump, Chinese demand rose 38 percent.
"China in 2009 accounted for 36 percent of global consumption," he said. "In 2010 China will consume seven million tonnes of a total of 18 million, almost 40 percent of the world total," he told AFP.
Suarez sees problems on the supply side, because many copper mines are old and in need of more expensive extraction methods.
"In addition, many new projects are in countries with a high degree of instability," he said.
Michael Jansen, an analyst with JP Morgan Securities, said copper prices are high enough to maintain production.
The price of copper has been hovering around 3.5 dollars per pound, its highest level in 20 months.







