Latest update: 14/10/2011 

- Bashar al-Assad - insurgency - Syria


‘Free Syrian Army’ poses growing threat to Assad

‘Free Syrian Army’ poses growing threat to Assad

Significant soldier defections have cast attention on the anti-regime “Free Syrian Army”. But the fledgling rebel force is still far from being a match for the Syrian regular army.

By Perrine MOUTERDE (text)
 

On June 28, Syrian army tank driver Manhl al-Adday took a day off to travel to the southern city of Deera. The next day he failed to rejoin his battalion as scheduled. “I was ordered to kill Syrians who were there, unarmed, in front of me. I saw the crimes of [President Bashar] al-Assad’s regime with my own eyes. It is impossible for me to return,” he confessed via Skype this week.

Since going AWOL, tank driver Adday has exiled himself in Turkey and joined an allegedly growing number of Syrian army defectors who have regrouped under the banner of the Free Syrian Army.

Adday says it is too dangerous for him to stay in Syria. “Once a soldier deserts, the regime immediately goes after his family. And I didn’t even have a gun to protect myself since I was a [tank] driver,” he told FRANCE 24.

The actual strength of the Free Syrian Army, or the influence it wields from exile, is difficult to measure. But President Assad, who is facing unprecedented pressure to step down from power, is taking the threat seriously.

Since March of this year, Syrian authorities have countered a growing protest movement with a violent crackdown that has claimed the lives of at least 3,000 people, according to the United Nations. France and the United States have called for strong UN sanctions against Assad, but their efforts have been thwarted in the UN Security Council by Russia and China.

'Ten thousand members and 18 battalions'

In a video that premiered on YouTube on July 29, seven uniformed soldiers announced the formation of Syria’s main military opposition force. The shaky footage showed an officer – a pair of stars on each of his shoulders – reading out a list of names of defectors who had vowed not to fire on peaceful protesters again.

Two months later, the Free Syrian Army claims it has more than 10,000 members organized into 18 separate battalions. Some of the battalions are said to be active within the country. Among the most prominent are the Khaled Bin Walid brigade in the central city of Homs, the Qaashoush brigade in the central city of Hama, and the Al-Harmoush brigade in the northern city of Idlib.

At the head of the opposition force is Colonel Riad al-Assad, one of the most senior officers to have defected. At 50, Riad al-Assad’s career included 31 years in the Syrian Air Force. He is thought to be in exile in Turkey.

“Our new mission is to protect the population and lead the overthrow of the regime. We do so only defensively, even if the [Assad] regime is trying to push us to attack,” he wrote to FRANCE 24 in an email. The rebel Colenel said he was against the idea of arming Syrian civilians, a solution he deemed “too risky”.

During anti-government marches, soldiers in the Free Syrian Army have allegedly concealed themselves among the demonstrators in order to respond to the potential crackdowns by security forces. “We feel a little safer since the Free Army is with us," said Omar Abu Farouk (not his real name), a 22-year-old resident of Homs.

“For example, [the Free Syrian Army] warns us in case of an attack and directs us to safe hiding places. But it does not shoot on all Syrian soldiers. It targets only the ones that kill protesters, especially the pro-regime militias,” said Omar.

Battle lines drawn

For Syrian authorities, the rebel soldiers are no freedom fighters, but traitors and terrorists who belong to “armed groups”. In recent months, reports of clashes between the regular army and deserters have multiplied.

Opposition activists say significant defections triggered the siege of the central city of Rastan by government forces in late September.

“The number of defected soldiers who defended the town was more than 250 soldier [sic], reinforced by a number of soldiers who came from other areas to join in. They managed to hold at bay the brutal attack of the army on the town… Many army members including soldiers and officers were executed after they refused to shoot at civilians or tried to defect,” activists wrote on the website lccsyria.org.
 

The Syrian Free Army insists that it is doing whatever is possible to protect peaceful civilians. The rebel army claims its soldiers hide outside towns and cities so that regime forces do not turn against populations. “When they desert, soldiers must join the nearest battalion,” said Col. Riad al-Assad.

Little firepower

In an October 7 interview with the Reuters news agency, Col. Assad said that only an armed resistance would overthrow the Assad regime. "Without war, he will not fall," the rebel commander said.

However, the Free Syrian Army is far from reaching this target. Composed mainly of low-ranking soldiers, it counts little firepower – essentially the weapons deserters could walk off with. And to date, no massive wave of defections has been observed.

Even if the number of desertions has increased in recent weeks, the rebel ranks pale in comparison to the government’s 200,000-strong force. "The Free Syrian Army has so far only recorded a few dozen kills," admitted Col. Assad, who is calling for the establishment of an internationally patrolled no-fly zone and buffer area near the Turkish border.

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An advise

Brother Asad and Families. !! I think time is not at your side. Every thing is going on according to the Almighty Allah's plan. So it could be wise of you to heed to his decrees and re surrender to him, confess and the crisis ends to justify its own means. Out of many you may save a very essential things valuable to the people. Please contemplate. Inshallah !! Allah knows best.

The right Action

For 7 months Demonstrators in Syria were "sitting Ducks" to Assad military fire power. It is time for them to Storm the presidential Palace, TV Stations, etc. with overwhelming number of people. Otherwise the killing by Assad will go on, and Assad will wear out the opposition.

People analyzing the military

People analyzing the military strength of the Free Syrian Army keep making the mistake of thinking in terms of conventional, tank formation versus tank formation warfare. The FSA has proven more than capable of carrying out an effective guerrilla style war. Some demonstrations are now protected, so that we see even bigger numbers coming out where the FSA's presence is significant. For the first time ever, the regime cannot invade a town or village with impunity, but must count on costly deployments and battles. It is the reason Homs has managed to remain the nexus of the Syrian Revolution for so long.

The American experience in Iraq, and the Soviet's in Afghanistan, has proven that it is perfectly possible for an army to occupy every town and village, but still end up losing a conflict. It all comes down to commitment and dedication, and the regime's reliance on mercenary shabihas is an unreliable strategy, compared to the dedication the defected soldiers and officers have shown.

what

whats going on in syria why do i care

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