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19 November 2009 - 14H51
British public finances worsen in blow for PM
Britain's public finances worsened by a record amount in October, official data showed on Thursday, one day after Prime Minister Gordon Brown pledged legislation to halt the damage.
AFP - Britain's public finances worsened by a record amount in October, official data showed on Thursday, one day after Prime Minister Gordon Brown pledged legislation to halt the damage.
Britain's public sector net borrowing requirement -- the Labour government's preferred measure of public finances -- hit 11.4 billion pounds (12.8 billion euros, 19.0 billion dollars) in October, a record high for the month.
That compared with a deficit of only 100 million pounds one year earlier in October 2008, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) added in a statement.
With Britain's general election due by June, the dire state of public finances has become a key battleground, with Labour and the opposition Conservatives at loggerheads over public spending cuts and taxation hikes needed to balance the books.
Brown had Wednesday revealed that he would seek a new law to compel the government to halve the public deficit within four years.
October is meanwhile traditionally a good month for public finances owing to the collection of business taxation revenues.
However, the country's longest recession on record has sapped taxation revenues and ramped up government spending on unemployment benefits and economic stimulus measures.
Britain has borrowed 86.9 billion pounds in the financial year that began in April, according to the ONS.
Analysts on Thursday warned that borrowing was highly likely to breach the government's 2009/2010 target of 175 billion pounds, forcing Britain's finance minister, Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling to lift his forecast.
"The October public finance figures are dismal, making very depressing reading for the chancellor," said IHS Global Insight economist Howard Archer.
He added that they also highlight "the need for the government to spell out in more detail how it aims to rein in the public finances over the next few years." Darling may reveal such details when delivering a preliminary annual budget report on December 9.
Economist Douglas McWilliams at the Centre for Economics and Business Research consultancy said public borrowing for the year was "likely to exceed the chancellor's forecast of 175 billion pounds by over 20 billion pounds.
"Our current best estimate for the deficit for 2009/2010 is 193 billion pounds. This month the rise in the deficit has been caused both by revenue shortfalls and by rising spending," he added.
Elsewhere on Thursday, official data showed retail sales jumped by 3.4 percent in October from the same month in 2008 -- the sharpest year-on-year rise for 17 months -- as shoppers appeared to shrug off the recession.
On a monthly basis they rose by 0.4 percent in October compared with September, the ONS announced.
Sales were driven by rising demand for clothing and footwear amid brighter weather, the school half-term holidays and Halloween.
"October's retail sales figures confirm that high street spending is still holding up reasonably strongly in the face of some pretty adverse conditions for consumers," said Jonathan Loynes, economist at Capital Economics.
But he also warned: "With household debt still very high, unemployment set to rise a lot further and a fiscal squeeze looming, the outlook for consumers is hardly rosy."
Britain has yet to follow the eurozone, France, Germany, Japan and the United States out of recession.
Labour, which has been in power since 1997, looks set to suffer a heavy defeat to the main opposition Conservatives in next year's election, according to recent opinion polls.







